Cash Conversion Cycle
Story type: Situational
Three working capital signals describe the cash conversion cycle: DSO trend indicates collection patterns, inventory turnover shows how long goods sit, and payables turnover reveals payment timing. Together these map the full working capital cycle.
State
Cash conversion cycle
Emergence
Working capital cycle characteristics. When days sales outstanding trend, inventory turnover, and payables turnover are observed together, they describe the full cash conversion cycle—how long cash is tied up from paying suppliers through collecting from customers. This combination reveals the working capital efficiency of the operating model.
Limits
This story identifies cash conversion characteristics, not operational excellence or liquidity adequacy. It does not predict cash flow timing, assess supplier or customer relationships, or indicate whether the cycle length is optimal. Different industries have structurally different cycles.
Explanation
Each signal represents an independent observation about working capital timing: DSO Trend measures the direction of days sales outstanding—how long it takes to collect from customers. Rising DSO indicates slower collection; falling indicates faster. Inventory Turnover measures how quickly inventory cycles through the business. Faster turnover means less time between purchasing and selling goods. Payables Turnover measures how quickly the company pays suppliers. Slower turnover means the company retains cash longer before paying. When observed together, they describe the complete cash conversion cycle—how long cash is tied up in operations from supplier payment to customer collection.
Interpretation
This story identifies cash conversion characteristics, not operational quality. It does not predict cash flow, assess relationship quality, or indicate optimal cycle length. Retailers often have negative cycles; manufacturers often have long positive cycles.
Required Signals
dso-trend
Change in days sales outstanding over the measurement period
inventory-turnover
Ratio of cost of goods sold to inventory
payables-turnover
Ratio of cost of goods sold to accounts payable