StockSignal
Volume-Price Divergence
Story type: Situational
Three volume signals show divergence from price: volume-price confirmation is weak, on-balance volume disagrees with price direction, and accumulation-distribution patterns are not supporting the trend. Together these suggest volume and price are misaligned.
State
Volume-price divergence
Emergence
Volume behavior diverging from price. When volume-price confirmation is weak, on-balance volume disagrees with price direction, and accumulation-distribution patterns diverge, volume activity is not supporting the price trend. This describes a condition where price and volume are sending conflicting signals.
Limits
This story identifies divergence characteristics, not reversal prediction or trend exhaustion. It does not predict price direction, guarantee trend failure, or indicate timing. Divergences can persist for extended periods and resolve in either direction.
Explanation
Each signal represents an independent observation about volume-price relationships: Volume-Price Confirmation measures whether volume validates price moves. Weak confirmation indicates volume is not rising on moves in the trend direction. On-Balance Volume tracks cumulative volume pressure. When OBV diverges from price, cumulative buying/selling pressure is not supporting the price trend. Accumulation-Distribution measures volume-weighted price positioning. Divergent patterns indicate capital flow is not aligned with price movement. When all three show divergence, they describe a condition where volume activity and price movement are misaligned—an observation, not a prediction.
Interpretation
This story identifies divergence characteristics, not reversal certainty. It does not predict price direction, guarantee trend failure, or indicate timing. Divergences are descriptive observations that can resolve in multiple ways.
Required Signals
volume-price-trend
Average volume on positive-close days divided by negative-close days
on-balance-volume
Cumulative volume flow based on price direction
accumulation-distribution
Cumulative volume-weighted price position within each period's range